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Who SHOULD Win & Who Will Win: My 2011 #Oscar Picks

My first blog tagline was Everyone is Entitled to My Opinion. That still holds true.
Each year there are films, actors, writers and directors that I root for. They may not be the most obvious choices or odds-on favorites to win, but I support films and performances that stick with me long after the credits have rolled.
Below are my picks in the major Oscar categories. And yes, I will be tweeting live on Sunday, beginning at 5pm PST if you’d like to follow along with the snark!
* Caveats: I have seen 9 out of the 10 Best Picture nominees (I missed 127 Hours). Sadly, I did not see any of the Documentaries or Foreign Films this year (so I am not including them below).
BEST PICTURE
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
- Inception (should win)
- The Kids Are All Right
- The King’s Speech
- 127 Hours
- The Social Network (will win)
- Toy Story 3
- True Grit
- Winter’s Bone
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
- Javier Bardem: Biutiful
- Jeff Bridges: True Grit
- Jesse Eisenberg: The Social Network
- Colin Firth: The King’s Speech (should win, will win)
- James Franco: 127 Hours
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
- Christian Bale: The Fighter (will win)
- John Hawkes: Winter’s Bone
- Jeremy Renner: The Town
- Mark Ruffalo: The Kids Are All Right
- Geoffrey Rush: The King’s Speech (should win)
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
- Annette Bening: The Kids Are All Right (will win)
- Nicole Kidman: Rabbit Hole
- Jennifer Lawrence: Winter’s Bone
- Natalie Portman: Black Swan (should win)
- Michelle Williams: Blue Valentine
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
- Amy Adams: The Fighter
- Helena Bonham Carter: The King’s Speech
- Melissa Leo: The Fighter (will win)
- Hailee Steinfeld: True Grit (should win)
- Jacki Weaver: Animal Kingdom
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
- How to Train Your Dragon
- The Illusionist
- Toy Story 3 (should win, will win)
ART DIRECTION
- Alice in Wonderland (will win)
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 (should win)
- Inception
- The King’s Speech
- True Grit
CINEMATOGRAPHY
- Black Swan (will win)
- Inception (should win)
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- True Grit
COSTUME DESIGN
- Alice in Wonderland (should win, will win)
- I Am Love
- The King’s Speech
- The Tempest
- True Grit
DIRECTING
- Black Swan: Darren Aronofsky
- The Fighter: David O. Russell
- The King’s Speech: Tom Hooper (will win)
- The Social Network: David Fincher (should win)
- True Grit: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen
[my vote would have gone to Christopher Nolan for Inception; his omission is egregious and outrageous]
FILM EDITING
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
- The King’s Speech
- 127 Hours (will win)
- The Social Network (should win)
[again, my vote would have gone to Inception]
MUSIC - ORIGINAL SCORE
- How to Train Your Dragon: John Powell
- Inception: Hans Zimmer (should win)
- The King’s Speech: Alexandre Desplat
- 127 Hours: A.R. Rahman
- The Social Network: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (will win)
MUSIC - ORIGINAL SONG
- “Coming Home” from Country Strong
- “I See the Light” from Tangled
- “If I Rise” from 127 Hours (will win)
- “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3 (should win)
SOUND EDITING
- Inception (should win, will win)
- Toy Story 3
- Tron: Legacy
- True Grit
- Unstoppable
SOUND MIXING
- Inception (should win)
- The King’s Speech (will win)
- Salt
- The Social Network
- True Grit
VISUAL EFFECTS
- Alice in Wonderland
- Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1
- Hereafter
- Inception (should win, will win)
- Iron Man 2
WRITING - ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
- 127 Hours: Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
- The Social Network: Aaron Sorkin (should win, will win)
- Toy Story 3: Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich
- True Grit: Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
- Winter’s Bone: Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini
WRITING - ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
- Another Year: Mike Leigh
- The Fighter: Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, Keith Dorrington
- Inception: Christopher Nolan (should win)
- The Kids Are All Right: Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
- The King’s Speech: David Seidler (will win)
Posted on February 25, 2011 with 1 note ()